Is the top 8 really set in stone?

Picture credit: Angry mob mulls options

With eight games remaining in the NRL competition and a sizeable three-win gap between eighth and ninth place, it seems certain to many that the 2018 finalists are set in stone.

Mathematically though, it is possible for the Tigers and Raiders to make it into the top 8, but as well know, form is king.

If we were to look at the remaining games for all the sides and predict that the result and score line will be the same as the last time these sides met at the same venue, we will see some very interesting results indeed.

Sides that go into a slump

Souths will have a three-game losing streak and will win just one of their final five games, while the Panthers are about set to go on a run of four straight losses. Both the Roosters and Sharks will lose three straight before turning their fortunes around in time for the finals and the Warriors will go on yet another typically miserable run home, losing the last three games before the finals.

The Tigers are also expected to extend their current run of outs before some relief quickly turns to more losses, while the Knights are set to win just twice more.

But worst of all will be the Titans, who will lose all of their remaining eight games.

Sides that get red-hot

The Storm stand out here, winning all bar one of their remaining eight games, while the Sharks will surge up the ladder with four straight wins to close out the season. Manly will have the best end to the regular season, winning seven straight, while the Cowboys are set to win their next four straight.

Ladder changes

The top three will remain in the top three, but all will change position. The Storm will rise from third to Minor Premiers, Competition leaders right now, Souths, will drop to second while the Dragons will move into third place.

The Broncos and Sharks will jump above Penrith and the Roosters.

But the biggest changes come further down the ladder. Manly’s surge and Canberra’s improved run, combined with the Warriors winning just two games, will see all three sides tied on competition points, however it will be the Raiders who sneak into the top 8, Manly narrowly missing out in ninth (Their points difference will be just 8 worse than Canberra’s) while the Warriors will run 10th.

The 11th placed Titans horror home run will see them plunge to the bottom of the ladder to claim the wooden spoon.

Final ladder

Position at Round 17
Team
W
D
L
F
A
Pts
PD
3
MEL
18
0
6
587
342
38
245
1
SOU
16
0
8
581
450
34
131
2
SGI
16
0
8
551
458
34
93
7
BRI
15
0
9
499
456
32
43
6
CRO
15
0
9
448
433
32
15
4
PEN
14
0
10
491
411
30
80
5
SYD
14
0
10
476
402
30
74
9
CAN
12
0
12
598
521
26
77
13
MAN
12
0
12
587
518
26
69
8
WAR
12
0
12
458
518
26
-60
10
WST
10
0
14
389
508
22
-119
14
NQL
9
0
15
445
461
20
-16
15
CBY
8
0
16
412
487
18
-75
12
NEW
8
0
16
419
630
18
-211
16
PAR
7
0
17
404
516
16
-112
11
GCT
6
0
18
420
654
14
-234

Do you agree with these bold predictions? Let us know in the comments below.