Sometimes, there is no decision to be made, no thinking to be thought, and no reason to reason. The answer is that obvious. That’s why we won’t mention you should start Deshaun Watson against Cleveland this week. We also won’t discuss why sitting a receiver-less Eli Manning against Denver is the right call.
But we will give you three other quarterbacks we think should sit and three we think should start in Week 6.
Start this guy: Jacoby Brissett, IND vs TEN
Starting any Indianapolis quarterback working behind one of the most porous offensive lines in the league seemed risky earlier in the year. Jacoby Brissett is still getting hit and sacked, but he also escapes occasionally and gains rushing yards along the way. Not to say Brissett hasn’t been passing well: this weekend, he threw for 300 yards and ran for one touchdown to finish with the week’s tenth-best NFL fantasy quarterback total for the second time in three weeks. There is no reason to believe he won’t do it again versus the Tennessee Titans. The Titans allow the third-most quarterback points per game in 2017. That won’t improve much after Monday night’s game in Tennessee.
Sit this guy: Jared Goff, LAR vs JAC
This should be a no-brainer after seeing what Jacksonville did to Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers this weekend. The Jaguars have the top defense against quarterbacks. If you were still thinking about it, watching a replay of how Jared Goff did against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday might help. It was his first effort against a good pass defense, and at times, he looked a little like the 2016 version of Jared Goff.
Still, the sophomore quarterback showed flashes. The thought of a Goff bounce-back game and a letdown game for Jacksonville crossed my mind. It has since uncrossed. Sit Goff.
Start this guy: Jameis Winston TB at AZ
This is a bounce-back game for Winston. It helps that Arizona is yielding the sixth-most NFL fantasy points to quarterbacks so far. There just isn’t much defense left after you get past Patrick Peterson. Winston has far more than one target. If Mike Evans is shadowed by Peterson, the Buccaneers still have DeSean Jackson, Adam Humphries, and Cameron Brate to throw to.
Sit this guy: Carson Palmer, AZ vs TB
This gets a little tricky. Tampa Bay’s defense is in the middle of the road when it comes to allowing NFL fantasy points to quarterbacks. They allowed Tom Brady to throw for 300 yards but held him to 12.62 standard NFL fantasy points.
Meanwhile, 37-year-old Carson Palmer has thrown for around 300 yards almost every week, while being constantly chased, hit, and sacked. My thought is that he is getting tired and the Buccaneers will take advantage of it. Palmer has one more game after Tampa until the bye week. I believe he is looking ahead to that.
Start this guy: Josh McCown, NYJ vs NE
No… I am not over-reacting to the Jets three-game winning streak by thinking they will challenge the Patriots. But I believe the Patriots’ defense is not as fixed as they looked against Tampa Bay last weekend. The Jets, even without Bilal Powell and Matt Forte, will mix the run and pass games effectively. McCown is known as a conservative quarterback, but he throws deep to Robby Anderson at least twice a game. It will be 4-5 times in this game and his modest cast of receivers will move the ball enough to make McCown the NFL fantasy QB-8-to-12 in Week 6.
Sit this guy: Alex Smith, KC vs PIT
There is a lot of bad feelings in Pittsburgh this week. It wasn’t just Ben Roethlisberger who had a rough game against the Jaguars. The Steelers defense allowed Leonard Fournette to pound them into submission in the fourth quarter. The Jaguars did not throw a pass in the final quarter. Everyone knew more runs were coming, but Pittsburgh coulJd do nothing to stop it.
Kansas City saw that. Pittsburgh has the top pass defense (and #2 fantasy defense against quarterbacks and wide receivers) and their run defense was exposed. Kansas City has the leading rusher and a good second running option. Kareem Hunt and Charcandrick West will run the ball all day. Alex Smith will wind up with an average NFL fantasy score at best.
Week 6 flash in the pan prediction:
Eli Manning throws three touchdown passes to rookies and uses garbage time to salvage a 20-point NFL fantasy score.
Full disclosure: about last week
Besides sitting the top-ranked quarterback in Deshaun Watson and starting the QB-22, last week’s start ‘em and sit ‘ems proved accurate. Two out of three isn’t bad, right?
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