The stare off between Denver and San Francisco continues to roll on, in what has quickly become the story that won’t go away, will Colin Kaepernick stay with the 49ers, or move over to the Broncos? The crux of the argument comes down to money, and with each party involved desperate to focus on the bottom line of the agreement, it could go on to damage the reputations of everyone involved if they don’t come to some sort of agreement soon. The beginning of this story started way back in 2015, when Kaepernick – having been demoted from starting QB for the Jim Tomsula led 49ers – announced that he was done with the team, and wanted a transfer. Meanwhile, the Broncos had forced their way through sheer willpower all the way through to the Super Bowl during a season of poor QB performance. Come the end of the season, Tomsula was fired, Kaepernick on IR and Denver without and answer at the QB position moving forward. Now we’re in the full offseason now, and the trade floodgates have been opened. Kaepernick sat on the fence, waiting for a team to pick up on his transfer request. He watched as free agent QBs got picked up left right and centre. Watched as Brock Osweiller signed a $72M contract for a career of watching Peyton Manning score TDs. Kaep was confident that his remaining contract would be a pretty good deal for someone that was considered the saviour of his franchise not that long ago. Kaepernick watched each team fill their rosters, and he still hadn’t been picked by any of the big boys. Then we get to where we are today. Denver wants Kaep, and Kaep wants out of San Fran, simple, right? The problem arises from the fact that Kaep has $11.9M guaranteed this season on his contract with San Fran, and Denver simply won’t spend that much money. With Kaepernick not wanting to take a pay cut, and the 49ers refusing to fund the difference, it has slowed down to a Mexican stand-off between all of the parties. Nobody is blinking, and this could result in nobody winning out. Kaepernick clearly wants to go to Denver, he has met with John Elway on two occasions, but he refuses point blank to take the short term paycut. In a way, he’s undermining his own value with this move, and I’m not sure he even knows it. Kaep is at a crossroads in his career. He had a rough season, and now he’s looking for a move, but he’s not willing to take a paycut. That makes him look greedy, and also indicates he’s not a team player. The Broncos took a broken down Peyton Manning, at the end of his career, and with one of the strongest defences seen in years, walked him to a Super Bowl. This team is offering Kaep a shot at the big prize, and that would increase his long term prospects immediately, and increase his bargaining power for the next step. The fact that he’s hesitating shows that he has very little long term planning ability. The fact that he even declared he wanted a trade when he did, indicates that he’s a poor decision maker, ruled by his rashness. Denver clearly wants Kaepernick. They already have Mark Sanchez under contract, but with the draft coming up, they need to secure a solid second option to play under centre, to avoid losing out to the early picks. Having spoken to him twice, it’s clear that they think they can do something with him, but that salary cap is a sticking point for them, and they won’t budge on their original figure. They’re coming from the position of highest power here, so it’s unlikely that they are going to change their tune any time soon. A team like Denver have proven that they can take any QB to the finals, so they can afford to stick to their guns on this one, and hold out for a good deal. Chip Kelly is in charge of the 49ers now, and he has a scheme that he thinks meshes with the skillset Kaepernick possess’s. He couldn’t really talk to him until they met up at the offseason training sessions, which Kaepernick attended, mainly because not attending would have cost him $400,000. Now that they have had the opportunity to meet up, Kelly may well have outlined his plans for if Kaepernick stays. What happens if they let him go, though? If they could agree to funding his salary next year, the Broncos could well sacrifice a pick in the draft, in exchange for the QB. Paying the reported $5 million difference for another roll of the dice in the Draft could well be worth the risk, especially if it gives them more flexibility for the shape of the team under Kelly. It appears that the 49ers are not afraid of losing Kaepernick, they just want to make sure that if he goes, he goes for the right price. Ultimately, the only person currently losing face right now is Kaepernick. In what could have a smart move to capitalise on the trade opportunities, he’s managed to come out of this with 2 horrible options: 1 – Go to the Broncos for a massive paycut, in the hope that you get picked for starting QB, and can pitch in enough to go into the playoffs, and maybe save face. 2 – Stay with San Fran under Coach Kelly, playing on a team of people who you openly denounced by asking for a transfer in the previous season, before it was even finished. It looks like Kaep is looking for a third way, where each team thinks he is just too good, and the Broncos eventually give him the 11.9 million he’s hoping for, in exchange for having him directly replace Peyton Manning. This has already dragged on longer than it should have, and Kaepernick should have committed instead of holding out, because now he just looks bad. Somebody needs to commit one way or the other, and let everyone just get on with it. Nobody is really interested in this saga anymore, as it doesn’t really change anything. Every other QB is settled, and all the other teams are locked in for the Draft. Let’s just get it over with.